| Edit in Browser | /_layouts/images/icxddoc.gif | /aabrams/_layouts/formserver.aspx?XsnLocation={ItemUrl}&OpenIn=Browser | 0x0 | 0x1 | FileType | xsn | 255 | | Edit in Browser | /_layouts/images/icxddoc.gif | /aabrams/_layouts/formserver.aspx?XmlLocation={ItemUrl}&OpenIn=Browser | 0x0 | 0x1 | ProgId | InfoPath.Document | 255 | | Edit in Browser | /_layouts/images/icxddoc.gif | /aabrams/_layouts/formserver.aspx?XmlLocation={ItemUrl}&OpenIn=Browser | 0x0 | 0x1 | ProgId | InfoPath.Document.2 | 255 | | Edit in Browser | /_layouts/images/icxddoc.gif | /aabrams/_layouts/formserver.aspx?XmlLocation={ItemUrl}&OpenIn=Browser | 0x0 | 0x1 | ProgId | InfoPath.Document.3 | 255 | | Edit in Browser | /_layouts/images/icxddoc.gif | /aabrams/_layouts/formserver.aspx?XmlLocation={ItemUrl}&OpenIn=Browser | 0x0 | 0x1 | ProgId | InfoPath.Document.4 | 255 | | View in Web Browser | /_layouts/images/ichtmxls.gif | /aabrams/_layouts/xlviewer.aspx?listguid={ListId}&itemid={ItemId}&DefaultItemOpen=1 | 0x0 | 0x1 | FileType | xlsx | 255 | | View in Web Browser | /_layouts/images/ichtmxls.gif | /aabrams/_layouts/xlviewer.aspx?listguid={ListId}&itemid={ItemId}&DefaultItemOpen=1 | 0x0 | 0x1 | FileType | xlsb | 255 | | Snapshot in Excel | /_layouts/images/ewr134.gif | /aabrams/_layouts/xlviewer.aspx?listguid={ListId}&itemid={ItemId}&Snapshot=1 | 0x0 | 0x1 | FileType | xlsx | 256 | | Snapshot in Excel | /_layouts/images/ewr134.gif | /aabrams/_layouts/xlviewer.aspx?listguid={ListId}&itemid={ItemId}&Snapshot=1 | 0x0 | 0x1 | FileType | xlsb | 256 |
|
|
| Edit in Browser | /_layouts/images/icxddoc.gif | /aabrams/_layouts/formserver.aspx?XsnLocation={ItemUrl}&OpenIn=Browser | 0x0 | 0x1 | FileType | xsn | 255 | | Edit in Browser | /_layouts/images/icxddoc.gif | /aabrams/_layouts/formserver.aspx?XmlLocation={ItemUrl}&OpenIn=Browser | 0x0 | 0x1 | ProgId | InfoPath.Document | 255 | | Edit in Browser | /_layouts/images/icxddoc.gif | /aabrams/_layouts/formserver.aspx?XmlLocation={ItemUrl}&OpenIn=Browser | 0x0 | 0x1 | ProgId | InfoPath.Document.2 | 255 | | Edit in Browser | /_layouts/images/icxddoc.gif | /aabrams/_layouts/formserver.aspx?XmlLocation={ItemUrl}&OpenIn=Browser | 0x0 | 0x1 | ProgId | InfoPath.Document.3 | 255 | | Edit in Browser | /_layouts/images/icxddoc.gif | /aabrams/_layouts/formserver.aspx?XmlLocation={ItemUrl}&OpenIn=Browser | 0x0 | 0x1 | ProgId | InfoPath.Document.4 | 255 | | View in Web Browser | /_layouts/images/ichtmxls.gif | /aabrams/_layouts/xlviewer.aspx?listguid={ListId}&itemid={ItemId}&DefaultItemOpen=1 | 0x0 | 0x1 | FileType | xlsx | 255 | | View in Web Browser | /_layouts/images/ichtmxls.gif | /aabrams/_layouts/xlviewer.aspx?listguid={ListId}&itemid={ItemId}&DefaultItemOpen=1 | 0x0 | 0x1 | FileType | xlsb | 255 | | Snapshot in Excel | /_layouts/images/ewr134.gif | /aabrams/_layouts/xlviewer.aspx?listguid={ListId}&itemid={ItemId}&Snapshot=1 | 0x0 | 0x1 | FileType | xlsx | 256 | | Snapshot in Excel | /_layouts/images/ewr134.gif | /aabrams/_layouts/xlviewer.aspx?listguid={ListId}&itemid={ItemId}&Snapshot=1 | 0x0 | 0x1 | FileType | xlsb | 256 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
7/16/2009This has been one of the longest recessions in over 50 years, but it may end this summer. This was the finding of BNA’s mid-year survey of 23 well-known economists. Most Americans won’t recognize the recovery until the middle of 2010. This delay is due to the fact that the unemployment rate will continue to rise through the end of this year and beginning of next year. The survey indicates that most economists predict that economic growth will be slow throughout 2010. They predict a GDP growth rate of just 2% for next year. At that rate, the economy is unlikely to be able to make any significant gains in employment. They expect the 10-year Treasury bond rate will rise to 4.33%. As rates rise, Treasury bond prices fall. Other economists disagree. Brian S. Wesbury, Chief Economist and Robert Stein, Senior Economist at First Trust Advisors in Wheaton, Illinois, see a much more robust recovery. They are forecasting a GDP growth rate of 3.5% for the second half of 2009, and 4.5% for 2010. They base their predictions on the following five assumptions. First - Inventory Levels. While businesses have been selling off current inventories, manufacturing has slowed to a crawl. As inventories get reduced, manufacturing will pick up, although it will not be the same as the pre-recessionary level, but it will be significantly higher than its previous lows. Second – Trade Deficit. They project continued declines in the trade deficit. As the trade gap narrows, exports add to our GDP. Third – Housing Market. They expect home building to bottom later this year, and rise in 2010. Housing starts are now only one-third of the long-term trend. Any uptick will add to the GDP. Fourth - Government Spending. Currently, only about 10% of the $887 billion dollar stimulus package has been spent. The largest portion is scheduled to be spent in 2010, adding to that year’s GDP. Fifth – Business Investment. Plant and equipment upgrades are expected to turn around much faster than previously thought. Neither Wesbury nor Stein believes that consumer spending will increase dramatically. They forecast that real consumption will rise only .6% on an annual basis from the end of 2007 to the end of 2010. Corporate earnings are likely to increase in the next three months, according to the second quarter 2009 Northern Trust Global Advisors survey of investment managers. Thirty-nine percent of participants think corporate earnings will improve in the next three months, compared to only just one percent who felt that way last quarter. What the economists believe is far less important than what you do for yourself and your family. The economic recovery will be meaningless to you if you are not positioned to take advantage of it. Americans have been shaken by this dramatic downturn. But, Americans have a long tradition of rising to the occasion in times of trouble. We recognize what is truly important, i.e., our loved ones, family and friends. We tighten up our boot straps and move forward. In the end, the American character will be the driving force that pulls us out of this great recession. Take the time now to review your situation. Look at your personal circumstances, debts, investments, and insurance needs. Determine if you need to make any changes. Your Money Concepts’ financial advisor stands ready to assist you. We will be happy to work with you to help insure all your financial pieces of the puzzle are in the right order. Please feel free to pass this on to anyone you feel might benefit. We appreciate all of your referrals. Technorati Tags: Economics7/14/2009Saving is the key to your personal financial recovery. Whether you are a retiree looking for ways to stretch your dollar, or a young family just starting out in life, saving is critical. But what are the best ways to save? We will examine a number of options you can employ on your road to economic recovery. 1. Stop Spending Money. Well, that’s not really practical, but you can substantially reduce your monthly spending by doing one simple thing… leave your credit cards at home. Multiple studies show that we are far more likely to make purchases on a credit card. When using a credit card, we are far more likely to make more purchases and be less concerned about the price we pay. Spending cash hurts. There is something in our brains that does not want to part with cash. That something is missing when it comes to credit cards. Leave the cards at home and your wallet will thank you. 2. Never Buy Retail. With today’s economy, there is no reason to pay full retail. Sales are everywhere. But, just because some item is on sale does not mean you should buy it. Make lists before you go shopping. If an item is not on your list, don’t buy it. Lists have proven to be one of the best tools to keep your spending in check. With large ticket items, make a list of what you will buy this year. Then, wait for deep discount sales. Avoid add-ons which retailers try to tack on to the sale. 3. Pay Yourself First. The single best way to save is by making your monthly savings the first bill you pay every month. It is not fancy, but it works. Decide what you are going to save each month, then make that your top priority. Next, pay your fixed expenses… mortgage/rent, utilities, and food. Then, you can spend anything you have left or increase your savings. Start small, and build. Your goal should be saving 10% to 15% of your salary. Begin at a level that makes sense, and schedule increases systematically in the future, i.e., every six months. 4. Use Two Different Types of Savings. First, set up a “put and take” account. This is an account where you put money in knowing that you will take it out in the near future. Every year, expenses come up that are outside of your monthly budget. Maybe the washer breaks down, or the car needs a new transmission. These things happen. So, part of your monthly savings should be set aside for unforeseen expenses. The second type of savings should be in a “put and keep” account. This account is not to be touched. It is to be left alone to grow for your long-term future. 5. Set Up an Emergency Account. You should have at least 6 months of income in a liquid investment for possible emergencies. The purpose of this fund is to provide for you in the event of disability, job loss, or serious illness. Bank accounts and money market funds are good choices. 6. Pay Down Those Credit Cards. While this may not technically be savings, each dollar of debt you pay off will save you between 18% - 22% interest. Americans have become credit card addicts. We typically own more than 10 cards and carry over $8,000 in debt. This debt adds up to billions of dollars of interest that we are wasting each year. Many people only pay the minimum balance. At that rate, they will be paying off their cards for years and years to come. Set yourself free. Pay off those cards! Start by not using them anymore. Then, pay two, three or four times the minimum payment. The higher the payments, the quicker you will be out of debt and the more interest you will save. 7. Use Tax Advantage Savings. (401ks, 403bs, Company Pension Plans) If your company offers a defined contribution plan (401k), enroll in it. If you are already in your company’s plan, look into increasing your contributions. For 2009, you can contribute up to $16,500 ($22,000 if over age 50). If your company has a matching program, all the better. But if it does not, continue anyway. Every dollar you contribute will lower your taxable wage and, therefore, your tax bill. Meanwhile, the earnings in the 401k are tax deferred. Your goal should be to increase your contributions on a scheduled basis until you hit the maximum. Your retired self will be glad you did. 8. Look into a Roth IRA. If you qualify, a Roth IRA offers unique features. Currently, the annual contribution limit is $5,000 per year ($6,000 if over 50). Contributions are not deductible, but earnings grow tax free. After five years, or age 59½ (whichever is later), you can begin tax-free withdrawals for life. The Roth IRA does not require you to begin withdrawals at age 70 ½ like traditional IRAs. So, if you so choose, you can keep your money in the Roth, earning tax-free returns for your entire life, leaving a larger legacy to your heirs. 9. Check Your Insurance Coverage. We all need insurance. Whether it is to protect our home, car or other personal possessions. We also need to protect our families against the financial loss from the death of a breadwinner or the catastrophic cost of long-term care. While we all need it, we should not be paying more than necessary. Check all of your insurance coverages. Is it enough? Is it too much? Are the costs reasonable compared to the competition? Do an insurance review once a year. It could make a huge difference down the road. Please feel free to pass this on to anyone you feel might benefit. We appreciate all of your referrals. Please note: If you should make withdrawals from your IRA or your 401k prior to the age of 59½, you may be subject to taxes and penalties. 7/6/2009July is the perfect time for a mid-year review of your personal finances and tax outlook. By spending some time now, you can save money later. Let’s take a look at some of the issues you can review. -
Evaluate Savings: One of the best ways to save is through the various tax advantage savings plans. The most common is the 401k program. Every dollar, up to $16,500 ($22,000 for those over age 50) deposited into a 401k reduces your taxable income, and therefore, your tax bill. If you are not currently participating… START! If you are already participating, make it your goal to increase your contributions over time until you hit the maximum.
-
Evaluate Your Portfolios: How are your assets allocated? Should you consider moving part or all? Now that the dust has settled, it is a great time to review your options. A word of caution… make sure you get a full disclosure of all risks and fees before investing. Review your investment portfolio with your financial advisor before making any decisions.
-
Tax Savings Strategies: Many activities, such as home improvements, may provide tax benefits. The Energy Tax Act offers tax incentives for energy efficient products installed in your home. The benefit allows taxpayers’ credits up to 30% of the cost of the improvements. There is a maximum credit of $1,500 for 2009. Consult your tax advisor for more information.
-
Review Your Withholdings: Many Americans end up owing taxes because they did not have enough withheld during the year. This year will likely be worse than normal. The Make Work Pay Bill provision of the stimulus package automatically lowered withholdings for most taxpayers. The problem is many of those same taxpayers will not be entitled to the $400 (single) or $800 (for couples filing jointly) tax break. If you are one of these individuals, you could find yourself $800 short in your withholdings. Check with your tax advisor for help.
-
Buying a Home: If you are a first-time homebuyer, or if you have not owned a home in the last three years, you can claim a refundable credit of 10% of the purchase price, up to $8,000. This credit applies to homes purchased after December 31, 2008 through December 1, 2009.
-
Buying a New Car: New for 2009, you can claim sales taxes paid on the purchase of a new car. There are also additional credits, up to $7,500 for the purchasing of a hybrid or “plug-in” car. Congress has just passed this so-called, “cash for clunker” bill. Under this legislation, you can turn in a gas guzzling car and receive between $3,500 - $4,500 in tax credits toward the purchase of a high-mileage vehicle. There are a number of requirements that will make it difficult for most Americans to qualify, but if you do, it is a great opportunity.
-
Commit to Getting Organized: Start filing important statements and receipts. Safely store all tax-related documents, financial statements and insurance contracts. If possible, keep an electronic copy of all important documents. Please feel free to pass this on to anyone you feel might benefit. We appreciate all of your referrals. Please note: If you should make withdrawals from your 401k prior to the age of 59½, you may be subject to taxes and penalties. 6/29/2009The American savings rate continues to climb. For the last two decades, the savings rate hovered around zero percent. Now, it has leaped to over 6%. The recession and the credit freeze seem to be the turning point. But, is this change in the savings rate temporary? That is the big question. Economists are concerned that without a spike in consumer spending, the economic recovery will be less robust. While the overall economy might suffer a bit from a more restrained consumer, your personal economic recovery will benefit from your increased savings. Fifty years ago, the American savings rate was 12%. During the recent economic boom times, more and more people stopped saving and increased their consumer debt. Credit cards became ubiquitous. People refinanced their mortgages, taking equity out of their homes, spending it on consumer products. Businesses too, got caught up in the credit frenzy, over leveraging their books. Now, both individuals and businesses are cutting back. Americans are going back to basics. They are paying off debt and increasing their savings. Ben Franklin was quoted as saying, “that a penny saved is a penny earned”. That is good, old fashion common sense. We need to save for rainy days. But, Franklin did not live in times with income and social security taxes. In today’s environment, a dollar saved is more like a $1.30 earned. After all, you must first earn $1.30 to net $1.00 after taxes. Paying off debt is the best action anyone can make. For every dollar of credit card debt you reduce, you save 18% - 20% in interest. It is virtually a guaranteed return on your dollar. Today, Americans are paying down debt at an increasing clip. These changes in attitude do not seem temporary. A structural change is occurring in our society. Americans are remembering what is really important... family and friends… not possessions. Flamboyant excess is out. The virtue of “all things in moderation” has taken its place. Does this structural change spell trouble for the economy? If Americans continue to spend less and save more, that will likely slow the economic recovery. But, capitalism needs capital as fuel for long-term growth. Over the last twenty years, American business relied on foreign investments as its capital source. An increased savings rate will mean more “home-grown” capital sources for American business, which, in the long term, will be a positive for economic growth. In summary, Americans increased saving rate might slow the economic recovery in the short term, but it produces positive benefits for the economy as a whole. But, for your personal economic recovery, increasing your savings and paying off debt will reap nice rewards. Financial advisors generally agree that a 10% savings rate is the benchmark. This rate should increase as you approach retirement. The key to saving is to pay yourself first. Put your monthly savings ahead of all your bills, and then you can spend whatever is left. Please feel free to pass this on to anyone you feel might benefit. We appreciate all of your referrals.
Providers of Financial Services Since 1979 All Securities through Money Concepts Capital Corp. Member FINRA / SIPC Money Concepts Advisory Service is a Registered Investment Advisor with the SEC Investments are not FDIC or NCUA Insured, May Lose Value, No Bank or Credit Union Guarantee 11440 North Jog Road Palm Beach Gardens, FL 33418 This e-mail, including attachments, is intended for the exclusive use of the addressee and may contain proprietary, confidential or privileged information. If you are not the intended recipient, any dissemination, use, distribution or copying is strictly prohibited. If you have received this e-mail in error, please notify me via return e-mail and permanently delete the original and destroy all copies. Thank you. On Monday, March 23, 2009, the Treasury Department announced their new program to help struggling banks with their toxic mortgage assets. The first change was in semantics, toxic assets will be, henceforth, called legacy assets. But all kidding aside, this is serious business. Our economic recovery will depend on the stabilization of the housing market, the restructuring of banks, and in getting credit flowing once again to credit worthy businesses and consumers. The plan has three parts. The first part is run by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC). It covers troubled mortgages, but not the CDOs… (bundled mortgage securities)… “legacy assets”. These mortgages are three or more months delinquent. The plan offers very favorable financing to private investors to buy these mortgages. The Treasury gave this example: An investor could pay as little as $6.00 for a loan that had an original value of $100. These bad loans are a problem for banks. It is estimated that there are some $230 billion in loans that are overdue by 90 or more days. By comparison, the “legacy assets” (CDOs or bundled mortgage securities) amount to $1.7 trillion. The second part of the program will be run by the Federal Reserve. The Fed is expanding existing programs, buying up more of those securitized mortgages. Once again, the plan is to sell those assets to the private sector at favorable financing rates and provide some guarantees. The third part of the program has to do with commercial mortgage-backed securities and other asset-backed securities that were once rated AAA, but have since been downgraded. The Treasury hopes to sell these assets to five public-private investment funds that will be created through open bidding amongst investment firms. To finance the plan, the government will put up to $1.00 per $1.00 from private investors, plus finance up to another $5.00 for a 6-1 leverage. The plan allocates $75 to $100 billion from TARP Capital. With favorable financing for investors, the Treasury estimates up to $500 billion in purchasing power will be created by this public-private program. The Treasury has the potential to expand the program up to $1 trillion. Sample Investment Under the Legacy Loans Program Step 1: If a bank has a pool of residential mortgages with $100 face value that it is seeking to divest, the bank would approach the FDIC. Step 2: The FDIC would determine, according to the above process, that they would be willing to leverage the pool at a 6-to-1 debt-to-equity ratio. Step 3: The pool would then be auctioned by the FDIC, with several private sector bidders submitting bids. The highest bid from the private sector – in this example, $84 – would be the winner and would form a Public-Private Investment Fund to purchase the pool of mortgages. Step 4: Of this $84 purchase price, the FDIC would provide guarantees for $72 of financing, leaving $12 of equity. Step 5: The Treasury would then provide 50% of the equity funding required on a side-by-side basis with the investor. In this example, Treasury would invest approximately $6, with the private investor contributing $6. Step 6: The private investor would then manage the servicing of the asset pool and the timing of its disposition on an ongoing basis – using asset managers approved and subject to oversight by the FDIC. 6/24/2009 According to a survey released today by the Securities Industry and Financial Markets (SIFMA), the economy is expected to start growing in the third quarter of 2009, but the expansion will be slow through the first half of 2010. The economic survey of economists from the association’s member firms predict a .8 percent GDP for the July through September period, accelerating to 1.9 percent in the fourth quarter. The prediction for 2010 is forecasted at 2.1 percent. The survey, which was conducted from May 27th – June 12th, also showed the majority of respondents did not believe inflation was an immediate threat. The core inflation rate, which excludes energy and food, is predicted to be 1.6 percent in 2009 and 1.2 percent in 2010. 6/23/2009No, we are not talking about some new government bail-out program or new health care spending initiative. We are, however, discussing a huge opportunity for over 13.5 million Americans who have been locked out of one of the best vehicles to save for retirement, the Roth IRA. Starting in 2010, everyone will be eligible to convert their traditional IRA to a Roth IRA regardless of their current income. It is estimated that the amount that will become eligible to convert a Roth IRA will exceed one trillion dollars! The main advantage of a Roth conversion is that you pay income tax on the amount transferred once and you are done. You never have to pay income tax on the gains or withdrawals from the Roth IRA again (provided you meet the 5 year holding period). It is one and done. By way of background, the Roth IRA came into existence in 1997 as an alternative to traditional IRAs. While traditional IRA contributions are tax deductible, Roth IRAs are not. Earnings in both are tax deferred, but the real difference is that withdrawals from Roth IRAs are tax free while withdrawals from traditional IRAs are subject to income tax. Additionally, traditional IRAs require a minimum withdrawal amount beginning in the year that you turn age 70½. Roth IRAs do not have that requirement. Roth IRAs give participants the ability to invest in nearly anything they want without having to pay income taxes. In 2009, only those with incomes below $120,000 for singles and $176,000 for married couples can contribute to a Roth IRA. For those who have a traditional IRA and would like to convert to a Roth IRA, the income limit is $100,000. But, and it’s a big but, the conversion limit disappears in 2010. Virtually everyone can convert part or all of their traditional IRA to a Roth starting on January 1, 2010. While converting to a Roth IRA means one and done for income tax purposes, there are some issues you must be aware of before jumping in. First, among these is the fact that you will be required to pay income tax on any amounts transferred from the traditional IRA to the Roth IRA. For example, if you converted a traditional IRA with a value of $100,000 into a Roth IRA, you would be required to pay tax on the $100,000 conversion amount. If you were in a 25% tax bracket, that amount would be $25,000 in additional taxes in 2010. Second, special privileges apply to Roth conversions that are completed in 2010. In that year, you have an option to pay the tax one of two ways… all upfront in 2010, or deferred… split 50% in 2011 and 50% in 2012. Any year thereafter, the tax will be due the year the transfer is made. The gamble here is whether or not taxes will go up or down in 2011 and 2012. If they stay the same or go down, deferring the tax payment to 2011 and 2012 makes sense. If they go up, paying all the tax in 2010 is the wise choice. The decision as to how to pay the tax must be made before the end of the 2010 tax year. Many Americans believe that taxes will likely be higher in the years ahead. In such a case, Roth conversions make a great deal of sense. However, if taxes decrease, or if you find yourself in a substantially lower tax bracket in the future, staying in a traditional IRA might be the better choice. Since none of us has a crystal ball, many Americans plan to split up their traditional IRA, rolling over a portion of it into a Roth IRA, and keeping a portion in the traditional plan. A strategy that is gaining popularity is rolling over a portion of one’s 401k assets into an IRA with the idea of converting it to a Roth IRA in 2010. A different back door strategy with Roth IRAs is to make annual contributions into a traditional IRA with the idea of converting to a Roth at a later date. This idea is especially popular for those whose IRA contributions do not qualify for the tax deduction, and their income is too high to qualify for a Roth IRA based on annual income limits. If you convert a traditional IRA where all your contributions were made with after-tax dollars, then only the interest gained in the IRA would be subject to tax in the year of the conversion to the Roth. There are currently no rules against making annual IRA deposits every year and then converting it to a Roth IRA. Another difference with the Roth IRA is that it is not subject to “double taxation” at death like the traditional IRA. For example, suppose you had an IRA with a value of $500,000 at the time of your death. The $500,000 would be included in your estate for estate tax purposes whether or not your IRA was a Roth or a traditional IRA. But, after paying estate tax, your traditional IRA would be subject to income tax while your Roth would be income tax exempt. This is a huge advantage in estate planning. One last point… with a Roth IRA, you can enjoy a lifetime of tax free income and then leave your Roth IRA to your children or grandchildren and they will not have to pay income tax either. They can continue receiving monthly tax-free income based on their life expectancy. You can literally provide tax-free income for decades to come. 2010 Roth conversions provide a unique opportunity. For most people, it is not a question of whether or not to convert, but rather what percentage should I convert. This is a big question and it deserves thoughtful analysis and input. Your Money Concepts’ independent financial advisor is here to help. We will look at your entire financial picture, helping you put the pieces together. We will work with you to provide you with the input of ideas and facts so that you can make an informed decision. Please feel free to pass this on to anyone you feel might benefit. We appreciate all of your referrals. Please note: If you should make withdrawals from your IRA prior to the age of 59½, you may be subject to penalties. 6/15/2009If you are like most Americans, you enjoy having choices. Today, we have more choices than ever. From the variety of cars we drive to the differing number and sizes of candy bars. Choices abound. In the arena of investments and 401k allocation possibilities, the number of choices has exploded in the last ten years. What used to be a fairly simple choice of allocating between stocks, bonds, and money markets is now more complex than ever. A careful review of The Swedish Experience can help shed some light on the difficulty associated with complex investment decisions. In 2000, Sweden privatized their government-run pension plan. This private plan was designed to provide “maximum choice”. Each participant was allowed to form their own portfolio by selecting up to five privately-managed funds from an approved list. If someone failed to pick a fund, however, the government would put them into a very low risk, low return fund. This default fund was not recommended. The government’s activity encouraged people to choose more appropriate funds. Any fund meeting certain fiduciary standards was allowed to enter the system. As a result, by the start of the program, participants had over 456 fund choices. As of August 2007, that number grew to 783. Information on the funds was provided in book form to all participants. It listed fees, past performance, and the risk of each fund. Fund companies were allowed to advertise to attract accounts, and did so with great fan fare at the start of the program. So what happened? As you have probably guessed, making such a decision was a difficult experience. Most did not have the expertise or training to make an informed decision. About one-third ended up with the low return default fund, making it the largest fund choice. Faced with so many choices, one-third chose not to choose, despite the government’s encouragement to invest elsewhere. As time went by and fund managers stopped advertising, more and more new participants ended up in the default fund. By 2006, only 8% selected their own portfolio. Did active choosers make better choices? Active choosers tended to take far too much risk in their portfolio. The average active chooser’s portfolio was comprised of 96.2% stocks. They were also far more likely to follow trends. Armed only with a book of funds and little knowledge, participants picked the funds that performed the best over the immediate past. During the peak of the technology bubble, many active choosers picked the Robur Aktiefond Contura fund, which invested in primarily technology and healthcare stocks. 4.2% of all participants’ monies went into this account alone. The reason was simple… the fund had produced a 534.2% return over the previous five years. What could go wrong? In the three years after the launch, the fund lost 69.5% of its value and has continued to be very volatile. Lesson learned? Faced with numerous choices, many participants did not know what to do so they ended up in the default fund. Others looked at the one piece of information they understood (returns), and made their decision based upon it. It is not clear how many participants made their decisions based on clever ads, but that is certainly not a good method. There were some who invested wisely and outperformed the default fund, but they were in the minority. Part of the problem can be chalked up to bad timing. The program was launched right before one of the four worst bear markets ever! But more could have been done to help people choose wisely. The more complex and difficult a decision is, the more people need personal assistance. Add to that poor feedback, and few opportunities for learning, it is no wonder participants did not do better. People needed the help of an independent financial advisor. Unfortunately, these participants did not have one. They could have called a representative of a fund, but that advice is hardly unbiased. The two most common mistakes were doing nothing or taking on too much risk. What does this mean for Americans? We have 100 times more investment choices than the Swedish participants. This huge number often leads to inertia. People simply stay where they are or take on too much risk without realizing it. What investors need is a relationship with a financial advisor or mentor who will provide answers both now and in the future. Investors must be aware of possible conflicts of interest. If an advisor works for a firm that makes investment products, will their advice be unbiased? Understanding what you are buying before making any investment decision is critical. Insist on getting the investment policy, fees and risks of every possible investment beforehand. Carefully review the prospectus of each investment vehicle. Becoming a knowledgeable investor takes time, but the dividends are well worth it! Contact your Money Concepts’ financial advisor today for unbiased financial planning advice. We have the tools, knowledge and experience to help you make an informed, thoughtful decision. Please feel free to pass this on to anyone you feel might benefit. We appreciate all of your referrals. 6/12/2009 On June 10, 2009, Jeffrey Lacker, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, addressed North Carolina’s State Senate Appropriations Committee. In his speech, he indicated that he sees signs that the U.S. economy will pull out of recession this year. Mr. Lacker believes that the consumer sector will bounce back sooner than most experts believe. While unemployment will remain high, he forecasts the end of the recession for housing will occur late this year. On June 11, 2009, Dennis Lockhart, the President of the Federal Reserve Board of Atlanta, addressing the National Association of Securities Professionals, said that the rate of economic decline is moderating and the economy will likely recover in the second half of the year. He predicted slow to moderate growth in 2010. Mr. Lacker and Mr. Lockhart are just two of the many experts who now believe that the downward momentum of this recession is easing. A report released by the Federal Reserve indicated that they believe the second quarter growth rate will moderate to between -1% to -3%. This would represent a major easing in the downturn. The last two quarters saw the economy contract by over 6% and 5% respectfully. Hopeful signs are being seen. The stock market has moved forcefully up from its March 9th lows. Corporate profits came in better than expected. Industrial production has shown some signs of life. Productivity is on the rise. And even the amount of layoffs being announced is going down. Next week, ten major financial institutions have permission to pay back their TARP funds. Two smaller banks plan to do the same, which will bring the total payback of TARP to $70 billion. All this will happen while we have only spent just $40 billion of the $787 billion in Stimulus funds. In the short term, things are looking better, but many economists are concerned over the longer term. Many worry that inflation might reignite, or that the world’s investors (Chinese) might turn away from U.S. Government bonds causing rates to spike. This year alone, the Federal budget deficit will swell to over $1.84 trillion. To fund that kind of spending, the Treasury Department will be issuing more bonds than ever before in history. Just this week, the Treasury Department successfully issued over $80 billion in new bonds. So far this year, we have seen rates climb on Treasuries, but the increase appears to be more of a return to normalcy than anything else. On the inflation front, Bart van Ark, Chief Economist with the Conference Board, believes it will remain stable throughout 2010. One of the reasons for his confidence is the poor labor market, which keeps wages in check. Another is the consumer. Consumers are now saving more than at any time in the last fourteen years. This new trend to save is here to stay. Further, the easy credit that fueled consumer spending has dried up. Currently, the only sign of inflation is in oil and other commodities. The price rise in these is more indicative of a worldwide feeling that the worst of this global economic recession is behind us. The Federal Reserve will have to keep a keen eye on inflation. The Fed has pumped trillions into the economy to keep us out of a depression. It’s working, but the hard part is knowing when to turn off the spicket. In the meantime, we will continue to look for signs of economic growth. Please feel free to pass this on to anyone you feel might benefit. We appreciate all of your referrals. Technorati Tags: Economics6/8/2009During these difficult economic times, many hard working top quality people have lost their jobs. For each and every one, this is a tragedy. While signs of economic recovery have manifested of late, the unemployment picture still looks grim. The number of jobs lost during this recession topped 6 million in the month of June. The unemployment rate, currently at 9.4%, will likely rise to 10%+ before peaking. Unemployment is a lagging indicator, which means that the economy will be in full recovery before the rate drops. Unemployment insurance is available to soften some of the financial stress, but financial concerns are just one of many difficult problems the newly unemployed face. Losing one’s job not only causes stress to oneself, but can cause chaos to the whole family. The number of difficult decisions that one must suddenly face is often devastating. Emotional and financial health suffers. It should be no wonder that many unemployed often forget to rollover their 401k assets into an IRA. A recent study found that in the first quarter of 2008, 43% of those individuals who left their jobs had not moved their 401k assets a year later. This is as important as cleaning out your desk or locker. Failure to do either runs the risk of losing your personal items and funds. Assets left in your previous employer’s 401k can cost you money. Your 401k could be cashed out, causing it to be subject to income taxes and a 10% penalty. Employers don’t want your 401k. Small inactive 401k accounts lower average account balances, which translates into higher annual fees for employers. Faced with higher fees, employers can cash out ex-employees 401k accounts. There are a number of more positive reasons to rollover your 401k into an IRA. The first, of course, is control. Unlike a 401k, you are able to have complete control over your IRA account. Second, the investment options in an IRA are much greater than in most 401ks. Your IRA may invest in stocks, bonds, mutual funds, ETFs, annuities, real estate, and more. In addition, you have the ability to change investments as conditions merit or as your personal situations change. The complexity of rolling over 401k assets into an IRA can cause many Americans to make costly mistakes. Failure to roll 401k assets directly into your IRA without taking constructive receipt is one of them. Often, people will take 401k withdrawals with the intention of opening an IRA later. By taking the 401k proceeds directly (as opposed to having them sent to the new IRA custodian), they inadvertently create a cash-flow problem. The IRA allows up to 60 days for a rollover, any more, and the proceeds are subject to income tax and a 10% penalty. Additionally, the IRS requires employers to withhold 20% of the 401k balance, and the proceeds are made out to you. This means, you have 60 days to rollover 100% of your 401k assets, but you only received 80%. You must come up with the additional 20% on your own. No easy feat for someone who has just been laid off. However, if the rollover is done correctly, there are no withholding or other tax issues. Your Money Concepts’ financial advisor is here to help. We have the tools, knowledge and experience to help you rollover your 401k assets as smoothly as possible. Our number one goal is to help you by providing the necessary education and information for you to make an informed, thoughtful decision. Please feel free to pass this on to anyone you feel might benefit. We appreciate all of your referrals.
| Edit in Browser | /_layouts/images/icxddoc.gif | /aabrams/_layouts/formserver.aspx?XsnLocation={ItemUrl}&OpenIn=Browser | 0x0 | 0x1 | FileType | xsn | 255 | | Edit in Browser | /_layouts/images/icxddoc.gif | /aabrams/_layouts/formserver.aspx?XmlLocation={ItemUrl}&OpenIn=Browser | 0x0 | 0x1 | ProgId | InfoPath.Document | 255 | | Edit in Browser | /_layouts/images/icxddoc.gif | /aabrams/_layouts/formserver.aspx?XmlLocation={ItemUrl}&OpenIn=Browser | 0x0 | 0x1 | ProgId | InfoPath.Document.2 | 255 | | Edit in Browser | /_layouts/images/icxddoc.gif | /aabrams/_layouts/formserver.aspx?XmlLocation={ItemUrl}&OpenIn=Browser | 0x0 | 0x1 | ProgId | InfoPath.Document.3 | 255 | | Edit in Browser | /_layouts/images/icxddoc.gif | /aabrams/_layouts/formserver.aspx?XmlLocation={ItemUrl}&OpenIn=Browser | 0x0 | 0x1 | ProgId | InfoPath.Document.4 | 255 | | View in Web Browser | /_layouts/images/ichtmxls.gif | /aabrams/_layouts/xlviewer.aspx?listguid={ListId}&itemid={ItemId}&DefaultItemOpen=1 | 0x0 | 0x1 | FileType | xlsx | 255 | | View in Web Browser | /_layouts/images/ichtmxls.gif | /aabrams/_layouts/xlviewer.aspx?listguid={ListId}&itemid={ItemId}&DefaultItemOpen=1 | 0x0 | 0x1 | FileType | xlsb | 255 | | Snapshot in Excel | /_layouts/images/ewr134.gif | /aabrams/_layouts/xlviewer.aspx?listguid={ListId}&itemid={ItemId}&Snapshot=1 | 0x0 | 0x1 | FileType | xlsx | 256 | | Snapshot in Excel | /_layouts/images/ewr134.gif | /aabrams/_layouts/xlviewer.aspx?listguid={ListId}&itemid={ItemId}&Snapshot=1 | 0x0 | 0x1 | FileType | xlsb | 256 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| There are currently no active announcements.
|  |
| Edit in Browser | /_layouts/images/icxddoc.gif | /aabrams/_layouts/formserver.aspx?XsnLocation={ItemUrl}&OpenIn=Browser | 0x0 | 0x1 | FileType | xsn | 255 | | Edit in Browser | /_layouts/images/icxddoc.gif | /aabrams/_layouts/formserver.aspx?XmlLocation={ItemUrl}&OpenIn=Browser | 0x0 | 0x1 | ProgId | InfoPath.Document | 255 | | Edit in Browser | /_layouts/images/icxddoc.gif | /aabrams/_layouts/formserver.aspx?XmlLocation={ItemUrl}&OpenIn=Browser | 0x0 | 0x1 | ProgId | InfoPath.Document.2 | 255 | | Edit in Browser | /_layouts/images/icxddoc.gif | /aabrams/_layouts/formserver.aspx?XmlLocation={ItemUrl}&OpenIn=Browser | 0x0 | 0x1 | ProgId | InfoPath.Document.3 | 255 | | Edit in Browser | /_layouts/images/icxddoc.gif | /aabrams/_layouts/formserver.aspx?XmlLocation={ItemUrl}&OpenIn=Browser | 0x0 | 0x1 | ProgId | InfoPath.Document.4 | 255 | | View in Web Browser | /_layouts/images/ichtmxls.gif | /aabrams/_layouts/xlviewer.aspx?listguid={ListId}&itemid={ItemId}&DefaultItemOpen=1 | 0x0 | 0x1 | FileType | xlsx | 255 | | View in Web Browser | /_layouts/images/ichtmxls.gif | /aabrams/_layouts/xlviewer.aspx?listguid={ListId}&itemid={ItemId}&DefaultItemOpen=1 | 0x0 | 0x1 | FileType | xlsb | 255 | | Snapshot in Excel | /_layouts/images/ewr134.gif | /aabrams/_layouts/xlviewer.aspx?listguid={ListId}&itemid={ItemId}&Snapshot=1 | 0x0 | 0x1 | FileType | xlsx | 256 | | Snapshot in Excel | /_layouts/images/ewr134.gif | /aabrams/_layouts/xlviewer.aspx?listguid={ListId}&itemid={ItemId}&Snapshot=1 | 0x0 | 0x1 | FileType | xlsb | 256 |
|
|
|
| There are currently no upcoming events.
|  |
| Edit in Browser | /_layouts/images/icxddoc.gif | /aabrams/_layouts/formserver.aspx?XsnLocation={ItemUrl}&OpenIn=Browser | 0x0 | 0x1 | FileType | xsn | 255 | | Edit in Browser | /_layouts/images/icxddoc.gif | /aabrams/_layouts/formserver.aspx?XmlLocation={ItemUrl}&OpenIn=Browser | 0x0 | 0x1 | ProgId | InfoPath.Document | 255 | | Edit in Browser | /_layouts/images/icxddoc.gif | /aabrams/_layouts/formserver.aspx?XmlLocation={ItemUrl}&OpenIn=Browser | 0x0 | 0x1 | ProgId | InfoPath.Document.2 | 255 | | Edit in Browser | /_layouts/images/icxddoc.gif | /aabrams/_layouts/formserver.aspx?XmlLocation={ItemUrl}&OpenIn=Browser | 0x0 | 0x1 | ProgId | InfoPath.Document.3 | 255 | | Edit in Browser | /_layouts/images/icxddoc.gif | /aabrams/_layouts/formserver.aspx?XmlLocation={ItemUrl}&OpenIn=Browser | 0x0 | 0x1 | ProgId | InfoPath.Document.4 | 255 | | View in Web Browser | /_layouts/images/ichtmxls.gif | /aabrams/_layouts/xlviewer.aspx?listguid={ListId}&itemid={ItemId}&DefaultItemOpen=1 | 0x0 | 0x1 | FileType | xlsx | 255 | | View in Web Browser | /_layouts/images/ichtmxls.gif | /aabrams/_layouts/xlviewer.aspx?listguid={ListId}&itemid={ItemId}&DefaultItemOpen=1 | 0x0 | 0x1 | FileType | xlsb | 255 | | Snapshot in Excel | /_layouts/images/ewr134.gif | /aabrams/_layouts/xlviewer.aspx?listguid={ListId}&itemid={ItemId}&Snapshot=1 | 0x0 | 0x1 | FileType | xlsx | 256 | | Snapshot in Excel | /_layouts/images/ewr134.gif | /aabrams/_layouts/xlviewer.aspx?listguid={ListId}&itemid={ItemId}&Snapshot=1 | 0x0 | 0x1 | FileType | xlsb | 256 |
|
|
|
|
|
|